Market Recap: Previous Week (22–26 July)
The Indian stock market ended the week on a volatile note, with key indices reacting to a mix of global economic cues, Q1 earnings, and FII flows. While the Nifty 50 remained range-bound between 24,350–24,700, Bank Nifty showed resilience amid rising bond yields and credit growth optimism.
Key highlights:
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Nifty 50 Weekly Change: +0.3%
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Bank Nifty Weekly Change: +0.8%
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Top Sector Gainers: Auto, FMCG
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Top Losers: IT, Pharma
🔮 Weekly Forecast (28 July – 2 August 2025)
1. 📊 Technical Outlook
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Nifty 50 support: 24,300, resistance: 24,850
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A breakout above 24,850 may push the index toward 25,000+.
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Bank Nifty is showing bullish divergence on RSI; 55,500 remains a key level to watch.
2. 🌍 Global Factors to Watch
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US Fed Interest Rate Decision (31 July) – Any dovish stance may boost global equity sentiment.
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Crude Oil Prices – Brent hovering near $84/barrel; any spike may impact Indian inflation-sensitive stocks.
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China PMI & US Jobs Data – Key indicators for global demand outlook.
3. 🧾 Domestic Cues
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Q1 Results Continue – Focus on stocks like Reliance, SBI, Titan, and Bharti Airtel.
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GST Collection Data (1st Aug) – Strong numbers can boost sentiment.
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FII Activity – Net inflows have moderated; watch for reversal signals.
🔥 Sectors to Watch
| Sector | View | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Auto | Positive | Strong monthly sales expected |
| Banking | Bullish | Credit growth + Q1 performance |
| IT | Cautious | Weak guidance, global tech slowdown |
| Energy | Neutral | Mixed movement in crude prices |
📅 Important Events Calendar
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| 29 July | India Core Sector Data (June) |
| 30 July | F&O Expiry (Monthly Derivatives) |
| 31 July | US Fed Policy Outcome |
| 1 August | India GST Collection & Auto Sales |
📌 Trading Strategy This Week
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Focus on breakouts in large-cap banks and auto stocks.
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Avoid aggressive longs in IT & pharma until better clarity emerges.
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Watch out for Fed commentary for short-term trend reversal or continuation.
📢 Final Thoughts
The Indian markets may witness a breakout or breakdown from the current consolidation range depending on macro cues and earnings results. Traders are advised to remain stock-specific and follow strong technical setups backed by volumes.
📉 Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Money99
Parag Patil is a technical analyst and trading system designer with stock excel programmer. I hope the articles and live chart of nse future and mcx on this Website will be as helpful and profitable to you . I try to update and post new articles tips everyday. My motto is to encourage the traders, so that they should able to understand the technique views behind the moment of stocks. I have deeply analyzed with many technical indicator with parameter and added to my amibroker afl. And even taken backtest report which is never being implemented. Any of the analyst expect me. Seeing all this you may understand that my views is more technical than commercial. If you are profited by my views I fill happy.
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