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Friday, 4 July 2025

India Stock Market Overview – July 4, 2025

The Indian stock market wrapped up the trading session on July 4, 2025, on a mixed note, with key benchmark indices showing mild profit-booking after a strong run earlier this week. Market sentiment remained largely cautious ahead of key global macro data and domestic earnings season beginning next week.



๐Ÿ“Š Market Index Performance

Index                         Closing Level                 Change (%)

Sensex                         79,865                         ▼ -0.25%

Nifty 50                         24,194                         ▼ -0.22%

Bank Nifty                 53,120                         ▲ +0.10%

Nifty Midcap 100         53,920                         ▲ +0.58%

Nifty Smallcap                 100 19,190                 ▲ +0.72%

While frontline indices saw mild declines, broader markets outperformed, reflecting continued strength in mid- and small-cap stocks. The Bank Nifty held steady, largely driven by selective buying in PSU banks.


๐Ÿญ Sectoral Performance

✅ Top Gainers:

Nifty PSU Bank – ▲ +1.45%

Continued optimism around government-backed reforms, strong credit growth, and improved Q1 outlook helped PSU banks outperform.


Nifty Realty – ▲ +1.10%

Healthy pre-sales numbers by major realty developers and improved affordability contributed to the rally in real-estate counters.


Nifty Metal – ▲ +0.90%

Global metal prices showed signs of stability, especially aluminum and copper, boosting metal stocks.


Nifty Media – ▲ +0.85%

Select media stocks gained on buzz around advertising recovery and merger updates.


❌ Top Losers:

Nifty IT – ▼ -0.95%

IT stocks corrected ahead of US jobs data and FOMC meeting next week, which may indicate future outlook on global demand.


Nifty FMCG – ▼ -0.60%

Some large-cap FMCG names faced selling pressure as investors rotated funds into high beta sectors.


Nifty Auto – ▼ -0.40%

Despite strong June sales numbers, valuations led to mild profit-booking in auto stocks.


๐Ÿ—ž️ Key Market News

๐Ÿ“Œ RBI Governor Speech Tomorrow: Markets are awaiting guidance from the Reserve Bank of India Governor’s speech on July 5, which may signal any forward-looking stance on inflation and interest rates.


๐Ÿ“Œ Monsoon Progress Positive: IMD reported that monsoon coverage has improved over key agricultural belts. This has supported rural-focused stocks and FMCG companies despite mild correction today.


๐Ÿ“Œ Crude Oil Volatility: Brent hovered around $84/barrel, keeping crude-sensitive sectors like paints, airlines, and OMCs under close investor watch.


๐Ÿ“Œ FPIs Turn Marginal Net Sellers: Foreign institutional investors net sold equities worth ₹325 crore today, while domestic institutions continued buying activity worth ₹512 crore.


๐Ÿ“… Most Active Stocks Today

Stock          Movement      Highlight

HDFC Bank       ▲ +1.2%     Renewed buying interest among large-cap bank stocks

Tata Steel     ▲ +2.1%     Metal rally and global sentiment supported

Infosys             ▼ -1.3%     IT sector under pressure globally

Godrej Properties ▲ +3.4% Strong Q1 pre-sales announcement

Adani Enterprises ▲ +2.2% Positive brokerage reports citing infra push

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Outlook

Analysts expect the market to remain in consolidation mode over the next few sessions ahead of key Q1 results and macro events. The underlying tone remains bullish, particularly in infrastructure, PSU, and midcap space, while caution is warranted in overbought pockets.


๐Ÿ”ฎ Key Levels to Watch:

Nifty important support: 24,000

Nifty resistance: 24,350

Bank Nifty support: 52,700

Bank Nifty resistance: 53,500

๐Ÿ“ Conclusion

Today was a day of sectoral churning in the Indian stock market, with investors taking stock of valuations and upcoming triggers. PSU banks, realty, and metals led the gains, while IT and autos saw some cooling off. Market participants should brace for increased volatility ahead of earnings season and global central bank action.

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Parag Patil is a technical analyst and trading system designer with stock excel programmer. I hope the articles and live chart of nse future and mcx on this Website will be as helpful and profitable to you . I try to update and post new articles tips everyday. My motto is to encourage the traders, so that they should able to understand the technique views behind the moment of stocks. I have deeply analyzed with many technical indicator with parameter and added to my amibroker afl. And even taken backtest report which is never being implemented. Any of the analyst expect me. Seeing all this you may understand that my views is more technical than commercial. If you are profited by my views I fill happy.

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