🔍 Market Snapshot (June 17, 2025)
Sensex: 79,450 (+0.7%) | Nifty 50: 24,300 (+0.8%)
Top Gainers: Reliance (+3.1%), ICICI Bank (+2.4%), L&T (+1.9%)
Top Losers: ITC (-1.8%), Tata Steel (-1.2%), Wipro (-0.9%)
FII/DII Activity: FIIs +₹3,200 cr | DIIs +₹1,800 cr
Key Drivers:
Fed rate cut hopes boost global sentiment.
Govt’s infra push fuels capex stocks.
Weakness in IT on US recession fears.
📊 Sector-Wise Deep Dive
1. Banking & Financials (Bullish 🟢)
Catalyst: RBI’s dovish stance; credit growth at 16% YoY.
Stocks to Watch: HDFC Bank, SBI, Bajaj Finance.
Fundamental Check: Strong NIMs (Net Interest Margins) & declining NPAs.
2. IT & Tech (Neutral 🟡)
Concerns: US clients delaying discretionary spends.
Opportunity: Weak INR (83.2/USD) supports margins.
Focus: TCS, Infosys (cost optimization plays).
3. Auto (Mixed 🔵)
EV Boom: Tata Motors, M&M gain on EV subsidy extensions.
Headwinds: Input cost pressure in 2-wheelers (Bajaj Auto).
4. Infrastructure (Very Bullish 🚀)
Budget Buzz: Govt’s ₹10L cr capex plan; L&T, Siemens, IRB Infra.
Valuation Alert: Midcaps surging (check P/E ratios).
5. FMCG (Stable 🟢)
Rural Recovery: Monsoon 5% above normal aids demand (HUL, Dabur).
6. Metals (Bearish 🔴)
China Drag: Steel demand slump hits Tata Steel, JSW.
📰 Breaking News & Events
RBI Policy Minutes: Hint at rate cut by Dec 2025 if inflation stays sub-5%.
Reliance’s Green Push: Signs $2B deal with Siemens for renewable tech.
Global Cues: Oil prices spike to $87/bbl (BPCL, ONGC in focus).
💡 Fundamental Spotlight
Stock Pick: ICICI Bank – ROE of 18%, trading below sector P/B.
Avoid: Tata Steel – China glut keeps margins under pressure.
Dividend Alert: ITC declares ₹12/share dividend (record date June 25).
📉 Technical Levels to Watch (Nifty 50)
Support: 24,000 | Resistance: 24,500
Strategy: Buy dips in banking, book profits in overbought midcaps.
🎯 Tomorrow’s Watchlist (June 18, 2025)
Fed Chair Powell’s Speech (Global volatility risk).
Monsoon Update (FMCG, agrochem stocks).
FII Flow Trend (Sustained buying = bullish signal).
🔔 Final Thought: Market bullish but selective. Stick to quality large-caps; avoid speculative small-caps.
📌 Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Consult a SEBI advisor before investing.
About Money99
Parag Patil is a technical analyst and trading system designer with stock excel programmer. I hope the articles and live chart of nse future and mcx on this Website will be as helpful and profitable to you . I try to update and post new articles tips everyday. My motto is to encourage the traders, so that they should able to understand the technique views behind the moment of stocks. I have deeply analyzed with many technical indicator with parameter and added to my amibroker afl. And even taken backtest report which is never being implemented. Any of the analyst expect me. Seeing all this you may understand that my views is more technical than commercial. If you are profited by my views I fill happy.
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